Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 7.966889 8.784966 9.675525 10.721171 11.920611 13.259755 14.876797
2026-01-25 6.729004 7.782220 9.004237 10.540995 12.442006 14.743317 17.781735
2026-02-01 5.987659 7.148397 8.554455 10.408985 12.830362 15.942132 20.341631
2026-02-08 5.428298 6.641512 8.161332 10.243383 13.083840 16.920615 22.673449
2026-02-15 4.968490 6.201507 7.789291 10.034330 13.213493 17.697316 24.781110
2026-02-22 4.645018 5.902574 7.562795 9.979302 13.522201 18.728113 27.381296
2026-03-01 4.274403 5.507912 7.168458 9.641614 13.370194 19.035550 28.860267
2026-03-08 3.908546 5.092820 6.712200 9.169305 12.959258 18.880086 29.522064
2026-03-15 3.678256 4.849663 6.478353 8.999485 12.985902 19.407024 31.420244
2026-03-22 3.737342 5.015568 6.837991 9.746386 14.525142 22.602074 38.721637
2026-03-29 3.644685 4.954771 6.857366 9.963277 15.216404 24.429413 43.776779
2026-04-05 3.448267 4.729442 6.613828 9.738829 15.132790 24.845162 46.009804
2026-04-12 3.365612 4.674114 6.633638 9.957215 15.864971 26.921002 52.384809
2026-04-19 3.200305 4.484741 6.433444 9.793449 15.896958 27.654500 55.906789
2026-04-26 3.058957 4.324084 6.267868 9.673593 15.993812 28.525199 59.963411
2026-05-03 2.922633 4.163964 6.093142 9.523166 16.015098 29.238040 63.798404
2026-05-10 2.788701 4.000977 5.904316 9.333165 15.939490 29.730640 67.176741
2026-05-17 2.692049 3.892353 5.798423 9.283132 16.133555 30.842123 72.591096
2026-05-24 2.553159 3.709958 5.560431 8.975920 15.778991 30.659101 74.169194
2026-05-31 2.399991 3.498825 5.265066 8.545704 15.137402 29.734947 73.285188
2026-06-07 2.306170 3.380660 5.121895 8.390863 15.057495 30.138538 76.730780
2026-06-14 2.363621 3.512057 5.410783 9.071270 16.820044 35.326617 97.986257
2026-06-21 2.335195 3.499204 5.447982 9.268561 17.551949 38.049671 111.884873